← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Salve Regina University3.31+2.08vs Predicted
-
2Yale University3.10+1.34vs Predicted
-
3Boston University3.03+0.44vs Predicted
-
4Brown University3.40-1.08vs Predicted
-
5Tufts University2.76-1.05vs Predicted
-
6University of Connecticut2.51-1.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.08Salve Regina University3.310.2%1st Place
-
3.34Yale University3.100.2%1st Place
-
3.44Boston University3.030.2%1st Place
-
2.92Brown University3.400.2%1st Place
-
3.95Tufts University2.760.1%1st Place
-
4.27University of Connecticut2.510.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Schon | 21.1% | 20.8% | 18.5% | 17.8% | 11.8% | 10.0% |
| Genoa Warner | 18.7% | 18.1% | 17.1% | 15.5% | 17.8% | 12.8% |
| Ian Towill | 16.5% | 16.8% | 16.7% | 19.2% | 17.9% | 12.9% |
| Nikolas Osvalds | 23.6% | 20.7% | 21.0% | 15.4% | 13.3% | 6.0% |
| T. Max Bulger | 11.3% | 12.3% | 15.7% | 16.7% | 18.9% | 25.1% |
| Sean Andrew | 8.8% | 11.3% | 11.0% | 15.4% | 20.3% | 33.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.