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📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.94+6.68vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College2.33+4.36vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University2.03+4.43vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.71+4.77vs Predicted
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5Brown University2.41+1.21vs Predicted
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6Harvard University2.29+0.64vs Predicted
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7Boston College2.82-2.03vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College2.13-1.02vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.11-1.89vs Predicted
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10Yale University2.31-3.45vs Predicted
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11Salve Regina University1.31-1.08vs Predicted
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12Boston University0.39+0.71vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island1.84-4.88vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College0.77-2.38vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont0.08-1.37vs Predicted
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16Roger Williams University0.95-4.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.68Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.940.1%1st Place
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6.36Dartmouth College2.330.1%1st Place
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7.43Northeastern University2.030.1%1st Place
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8.77Tufts University1.710.0%1st Place
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6.21Brown University2.410.1%1st Place
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6.64Harvard University2.290.1%1st Place
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4.97Boston College2.820.2%1st Place
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6.98Bowdoin College2.130.1%1st Place
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7.11U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.110.1%1st Place
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6.55Yale University2.310.1%1st Place
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9.92Salve Regina University1.310.0%1st Place
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12.71Boston University0.390.0%1st Place
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8.12University of Rhode Island1.840.1%1st Place
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11.62Connecticut College0.770.0%1st Place
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13.63University of Vermont0.080.0%1st Place
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11.29Roger Williams University0.950.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucy Brock | 5.3% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 0.3% |
| Gray Hemans | 9.5% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Eva Ermlich | 8.5% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 0.3% |
| Annika Fedde | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 9.9% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 5.5% | 1.5% |
| Caroline Bayless | 9.0% | 10.1% | 8.3% | 12.1% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Marbella Marlo | 8.8% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Caroline Sibilly | 16.0% | 12.5% | 12.2% | 10.8% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Lauren Russler | 7.7% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Emma Snead | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Megan Grimes | 9.0% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 3.6% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 11.1% | 12.3% | 8.6% | 4.7% |
| Madeline Stull | 0.9% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 11.6% | 19.6% | 26.8% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 5.4% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 0.7% |
| Hailey Pemberton | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 11.0% | 14.7% | 14.6% | 14.3% |
| Elizabeth Amelotte | 1.2% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 10.8% | 20.1% | 40.2% |
| Caylin Schnoor | 1.6% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 9.0% | 12.8% | 14.6% | 14.1% | 9.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.