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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.94+6.77vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College2.13+5.15vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.71+5.70vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College2.33+2.66vs Predicted
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5Brown University2.41+1.30vs Predicted
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6Harvard University2.29+0.71vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.11+0.42vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University0.95+3.22vs Predicted
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9Yale University2.31-2.48vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island1.84-1.66vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College0.77+0.82vs Predicted
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12Boston University0.39+0.92vs Predicted
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13Salve Regina University1.31-2.95vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University2.03-6.55vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont0.76-2.97vs Predicted
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16Boston College2.82-11.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.77Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.940.1%1st Place
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7.15Bowdoin College2.130.1%1st Place
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8.7Tufts University1.710.1%1st Place
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6.66Dartmouth College2.330.1%1st Place
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6.3Brown University2.410.1%1st Place
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6.71Harvard University2.290.1%1st Place
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7.42U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.110.1%1st Place
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11.22Roger Williams University0.950.0%1st Place
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6.52Yale University2.310.1%1st Place
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8.34University of Rhode Island1.840.1%1st Place
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11.82Connecticut College0.770.0%1st Place
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12.92Boston University0.390.0%1st Place
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10.05Salve Regina University1.310.0%1st Place
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7.45Northeastern University2.030.1%1st Place
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12.03University of Vermont0.760.0%1st Place
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4.96Boston College2.820.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucy Brock | 5.4% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 0.9% |
| Lauren Russler | 7.4% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 0.7% |
| Annika Fedde | 5.9% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 2.7% |
| Gray Hemans | 8.0% | 10.2% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Caroline Bayless | 9.6% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 10.9% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Marbella Marlo | 7.5% | 8.3% | 10.8% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Emma Snead | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 9.6% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 0.7% |
| Caylin Schnoor | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 15.1% | 12.9% | 13.5% |
| Megan Grimes | 10.1% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.7% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 6.7% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 1.2% |
| Hailey Pemberton | 2.8% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 9.5% | 12.4% | 18.7% | 18.2% |
| Madeline Stull | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 10.6% | 15.9% | 34.5% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 5.6% |
| Eva Ermlich | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 0.7% |
| Audrey Commerford | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 9.7% | 11.4% | 17.9% | 19.6% |
| Caroline Sibilly | 14.5% | 13.5% | 11.6% | 11.8% | 10.6% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.