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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.94+6.74vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University2.03+5.51vs Predicted
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3Boston College2.82+1.87vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College2.13+3.34vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island1.84+3.27vs Predicted
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6Tufts University1.71+2.74vs Predicted
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7Harvard University2.29-0.26vs Predicted
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8Yale University2.31-1.60vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.11-1.79vs Predicted
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10Boston University0.39+3.00vs Predicted
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11Brown University2.41-4.77vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College2.33-5.46vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont0.76-1.07vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College0.77-2.16vs Predicted
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15Roger Williams University0.95-3.57vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University1.31-5.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.74Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.940.1%1st Place
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7.51Northeastern University2.030.1%1st Place
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4.87Boston College2.820.2%1st Place
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7.34Bowdoin College2.130.1%1st Place
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8.27University of Rhode Island1.840.1%1st Place
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8.74Tufts University1.710.0%1st Place
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6.74Harvard University2.290.1%1st Place
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6.4Yale University2.310.1%1st Place
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7.21U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.110.1%1st Place
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13.0Boston University0.390.0%1st Place
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6.23Brown University2.410.1%1st Place
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6.54Dartmouth College2.330.1%1st Place
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11.93University of Vermont0.760.0%1st Place
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11.84Connecticut College0.770.0%1st Place
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11.43Roger Williams University0.950.0%1st Place
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10.21Salve Regina University1.310.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucy Brock | 5.3% | 8.9% | 5.4% | 8.5% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 1.4% |
| Eva Ermlich | 6.3% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 1.1% |
| Caroline Sibilly | 15.4% | 13.0% | 12.6% | 10.2% | 11.1% | 9.7% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Lauren Russler | 6.2% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 0.5% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 5.8% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 0.5% |
| Annika Fedde | 4.9% | 3.2% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 2.6% |
| Marbella Marlo | 9.1% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Megan Grimes | 9.7% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Emma Snead | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 1.7% |
| Madeline Stull | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 10.0% | 19.3% | 33.6% |
| Caroline Bayless | 10.6% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Gray Hemans | 9.4% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.7% |
| Audrey Commerford | 1.6% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 12.4% | 16.5% | 19.1% |
| Hailey Pemberton | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 12.4% | 15.3% | 19.2% |
| Caylin Schnoor | 2.6% | 1.4% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 11.1% | 13.1% | 14.6% | 13.8% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 10.8% | 12.0% | 10.1% | 5.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.