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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.82+3.82vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College2.13+5.13vs Predicted
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3Yale University2.31+3.57vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island1.84+4.38vs Predicted
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5Harvard University2.29+1.65vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University2.03+1.68vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.94+0.99vs Predicted
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8Brown University2.41-1.88vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College2.33-2.58vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.11-2.67vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University0.95+0.27vs Predicted
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12Tufts University1.71-3.30vs Predicted
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13Boston University0.39-0.07vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont0.76-2.17vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College0.77-3.01vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University1.31-5.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.82Boston College2.820.2%1st Place
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7.13Bowdoin College2.130.1%1st Place
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6.57Yale University2.310.1%1st Place
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8.38University of Rhode Island1.840.0%1st Place
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6.65Harvard University2.290.1%1st Place
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7.68Northeastern University2.030.1%1st Place
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7.99Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.940.1%1st Place
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6.12Brown University2.410.1%1st Place
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6.42Dartmouth College2.330.1%1st Place
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7.33U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.110.1%1st Place
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11.27Roger Williams University0.950.0%1st Place
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8.7Tufts University1.710.0%1st Place
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12.93Boston University0.390.0%1st Place
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11.83University of Vermont0.760.0%1st Place
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11.99Connecticut College0.770.0%1st Place
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10.21Salve Regina University1.310.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caroline Sibilly | 16.4% | 13.7% | 12.1% | 12.3% | 9.9% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Lauren Russler | 7.6% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Megan Grimes | 9.4% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 4.3% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 4.0% | 1.7% |
| Marbella Marlo | 8.4% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Eva Ermlich | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 9.4% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 1.3% |
| Lucy Brock | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 0.8% |
| Caroline Bayless | 10.2% | 10.5% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Gray Hemans | 9.0% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.9% |
| Emma Snead | 7.4% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 1.7% | 0.7% |
| Caylin Schnoor | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 10.9% | 11.3% | 15.0% | 14.4% |
| Annika Fedde | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 3.1% |
| Madeline Stull | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 11.8% | 17.2% | 32.3% |
| Audrey Commerford | 2.4% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 10.9% | 12.3% | 13.8% | 19.6% |
| Hailey Pemberton | 2.2% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 13.0% | 16.8% | 19.1% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 10.6% | 10.0% | 12.1% | 4.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.