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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.41+5.06vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.11+5.09vs Predicted
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3Yale University2.31+3.42vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College2.33+2.54vs Predicted
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5Harvard University2.29+1.55vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University2.03+1.58vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont0.76+4.93vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island1.84+0.07vs Predicted
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9Tufts University1.71-0.48vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University0.95+1.47vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College2.13-3.92vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.12-4.83vs Predicted
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13Salve Regina University1.31-2.94vs Predicted
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14Boston College2.04-6.69vs Predicted
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15Boston University0.72-2.86vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College0.77-3.98vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.06Brown University2.410.1%1st Place
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7.09U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.110.1%1st Place
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6.42Yale University2.310.1%1st Place
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6.54Dartmouth College2.330.1%1st Place
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6.55Harvard University2.290.1%1st Place
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7.58Northeastern University2.030.1%1st Place
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11.93University of Vermont0.760.0%1st Place
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8.07University of Rhode Island1.840.1%1st Place
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8.52Tufts University1.710.1%1st Place
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11.47Roger Williams University0.950.0%1st Place
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7.08Bowdoin College2.130.1%1st Place
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7.17Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.120.1%1st Place
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10.06Salve Regina University1.310.0%1st Place
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7.31Boston College2.040.1%1st Place
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12.14Boston University0.720.0%1st Place
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12.02Connecticut College0.770.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caroline Bayless | 9.6% | 11.3% | 10.7% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Emma Snead | 8.3% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 9.4% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 0.8% |
| Megan Grimes | 9.5% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Gray Hemans | 8.7% | 10.7% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 0.2% |
| Marbella Marlo | 9.6% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Eva Ermlich | 6.2% | 6.0% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 1.6% |
| Audrey Commerford | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 8.1% | 12.7% | 16.4% | 22.5% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 1.3% |
| Annika Fedde | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 3.3% |
| Caylin Schnoor | 2.4% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 10.5% | 13.3% | 13.7% | 16.5% |
| Lauren Russler | 9.4% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 8.5% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 1.5% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 2.7% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 7.8% |
| Libby Redmond | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 1.0% |
| Lucy Paskoff | 1.9% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 12.0% | 17.9% | 21.7% |
| Hailey Pemberton | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 12.4% | 17.9% | 20.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.