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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.12+5.93vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College2.33+4.25vs Predicted
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3Brown University2.41+2.99vs Predicted
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4Yale University2.31+2.52vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University0.95+6.22vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.11+1.14vs Predicted
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7Harvard University2.29-0.45vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University2.03-0.76vs Predicted
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9Boston University0.72+2.81vs Predicted
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10Boston College2.04-2.57vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island1.84-2.93vs Predicted
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12Tufts University1.71-3.48vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College0.77-1.26vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University1.31-4.12vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont0.08-1.40vs Predicted
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16Bowdoin College2.13-8.90vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.93Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.120.1%1st Place
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6.25Dartmouth College2.330.1%1st Place
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5.99Brown University2.410.1%1st Place
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6.52Yale University2.310.1%1st Place
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11.22Roger Williams University0.950.0%1st Place
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7.14U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.110.1%1st Place
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6.55Harvard University2.290.1%1st Place
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7.24Northeastern University2.030.1%1st Place
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11.81Boston University0.720.0%1st Place
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7.43Boston College2.040.1%1st Place
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8.07University of Rhode Island1.840.1%1st Place
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8.52Tufts University1.710.1%1st Place
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11.74Connecticut College0.770.0%1st Place
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9.88Salve Regina University1.310.0%1st Place
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13.6University of Vermont0.080.0%1st Place
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7.1Bowdoin College2.130.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brooke Schmelz | 7.5% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 0.6% |
| Gray Hemans | 10.0% | 10.6% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Caroline Bayless | 11.4% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Megan Grimes | 8.7% | 10.2% | 7.7% | 10.6% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Caylin Schnoor | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 10.8% | 12.6% | 15.0% | 11.7% |
| Emma Snead | 6.5% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 0.5% |
| Marbella Marlo | 10.5% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Eva Ermlich | 7.2% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 0.3% |
| Lucy Paskoff | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 8.0% | 10.1% | 11.3% | 19.1% | 16.5% |
| Libby Redmond | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 9.9% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 0.4% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 7.4% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 1.7% |
| Annika Fedde | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 2.3% |
| Hailey Pemberton | 1.9% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 10.5% | 13.6% | 16.5% | 15.5% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 4.1% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 10.3% | 11.3% | 8.8% | 5.3% |
| Elizabeth Amelotte | 1.5% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 10.8% | 16.8% | 43.7% |
| Lauren Russler | 6.9% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 0.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.