Race 11B

neisa-women-reed

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Gray Hemans 9.3% 12.0% 9.9% 8.1% 9.2% 8.3% 7.3% 8.2% 6.0% 5.7% 5.2% 4.9% 2.4% 1.9% 1.4% 0.2%
Olivia Lowthian 3.0% 4.2% 5.3% 3.2% 5.3% 4.5% 5.0% 5.5% 6.0% 6.5% 7.3% 9.2% 9.8% 10.3% 9.9% 5.0%
Eva Ermlich 8.2% 6.7% 7.0% 6.6% 7.6% 7.9% 7.3% 6.7% 9.1% 8.3% 6.5% 6.5% 4.9% 4.0% 1.9% 0.8%
Lauren Russler 7.0% 9.9% 6.3% 7.4% 7.4% 7.7% 7.9% 7.9% 7.1% 8.0% 5.5% 6.2% 5.6% 3.9% 1.9% 0.3%
Marbella Marlo 9.0% 9.1% 7.9% 9.8% 9.0% 9.6% 7.4% 6.7% 6.1% 7.2% 5.5% 6.3% 3.5% 2.1% 0.7% 0.1%
Annika Fedde 4.7% 3.5% 6.6% 7.5% 5.9% 6.8% 6.4% 6.2% 7.3% 7.0% 7.2% 7.8% 8.2% 7.1% 5.2% 2.6%
Brooke Schmelz 7.7% 8.6% 7.6% 6.3% 9.0% 7.3% 7.6% 6.0% 7.6% 8.5% 6.4% 6.5% 4.8% 3.6% 2.1% 0.4%
Megan Grimes 10.0% 10.6% 9.1% 9.6% 7.9% 7.9% 9.8% 7.3% 6.8% 5.2% 5.7% 3.7% 3.6% 1.7% 1.1% 0.0%
Caroline Bayless 11.2% 9.7% 11.4% 9.2% 8.9% 9.3% 7.5% 6.8% 6.6% 3.9% 6.0% 3.4% 2.5% 2.2% 1.3% 0.1%
Emma Snead 7.4% 6.9% 7.9% 7.8% 6.4% 8.1% 8.7% 8.5% 7.6% 9.2% 6.4% 5.3% 4.8% 2.8% 1.9% 0.3%
Kytalin Hendrickson 7.3% 5.6% 5.7% 7.1% 6.5% 5.6% 7.5% 7.6% 6.0% 8.6% 7.5% 7.7% 6.7% 5.9% 3.9% 0.8%
Libby Redmond 7.5% 7.0% 7.6% 7.8% 9.8% 7.3% 5.5% 6.5% 6.5% 6.0% 8.7% 5.7% 6.6% 4.0% 2.6% 0.9%
Caylin Schnoor 2.2% 1.9% 2.8% 3.8% 3.2% 2.9% 3.4% 5.3% 4.9% 5.1% 6.8% 7.3% 11.6% 13.3% 14.2% 11.3%
Miya Preyer 2.5% 1.6% 2.2% 2.6% 1.0% 2.5% 3.3% 4.9% 5.1% 4.8% 5.9% 7.6% 10.5% 12.8% 16.1% 16.6%
Lucy Paskoff 2.2% 1.5% 1.6% 2.7% 2.0% 2.2% 3.9% 3.1% 5.1% 3.7% 6.2% 7.3% 8.3% 14.5% 18.4% 17.3%
Elizabeth Amelotte 0.8% 1.2% 1.1% 0.5% 0.9% 2.1% 1.5% 2.8% 2.2% 2.3% 3.2% 4.6% 6.2% 9.9% 17.4% 43.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.