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📊 Prediction Accuracy
12.5%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.41+4.92vs Predicted
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2Boston College2.04+5.31vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.12+4.06vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College2.33+2.44vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.71+3.53vs Predicted
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6Boston University0.72+5.91vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University1.31+3.04vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont0.08+5.42vs Predicted
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9Harvard University2.29-2.60vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island1.84-1.88vs Predicted
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11Yale University2.31-4.58vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College0.73-0.20vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University2.03-5.65vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University0.95-2.89vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.11-7.84vs Predicted
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16Bowdoin College2.13-8.98vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.92Brown University2.410.1%1st Place
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7.31Boston College2.040.1%1st Place
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7.06Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.120.1%1st Place
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6.44Dartmouth College2.330.1%1st Place
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8.53Tufts University1.710.0%1st Place
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11.91Boston University0.720.0%1st Place
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10.04Salve Regina University1.310.0%1st Place
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13.42University of Vermont0.080.0%1st Place
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6.4Harvard University2.290.1%1st Place
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8.12University of Rhode Island1.840.1%1st Place
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6.42Yale University2.310.1%1st Place
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11.8Connecticut College0.730.0%1st Place
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7.35Northeastern University2.030.1%1st Place
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11.11Roger Williams University0.950.0%1st Place
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7.16U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.110.1%1st Place
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7.02Bowdoin College2.130.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caroline Bayless | 11.2% | 10.8% | 10.5% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Libby Redmond | 6.8% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 1.0% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 7.2% | 8.9% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Gray Hemans | 9.5% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Annika Fedde | 4.5% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 4.5% | 1.4% |
| Lucy Paskoff | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 12.3% | 16.8% | 18.3% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 4.1% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 11.9% | 11.3% | 5.2% |
| Elizabeth Amelotte | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 16.2% | 41.2% |
| Marbella Marlo | 9.9% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 0.4% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 1.5% |
| Megan Grimes | 9.9% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.5% |
| Miya Preyer | 1.7% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 8.9% | 11.6% | 17.8% | 18.1% |
| Eva Ermlich | 6.9% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 0.5% |
| Caylin Schnoor | 2.8% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 14.3% | 15.5% | 9.8% |
| Emma Snead | 8.1% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| Lauren Russler | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.