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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.41+4.87vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.29+4.35vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University1.31+6.87vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.12+3.12vs Predicted
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5Yale University2.31+1.39vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.11+1.15vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College2.13+0.10vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University0.74+3.64vs Predicted
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9Boston College2.04-1.74vs Predicted
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10Tufts University1.71-1.44vs Predicted
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11Boston University0.72+0.74vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island1.84-4.02vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College0.73-1.24vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont0.08-0.53vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University2.03-7.56vs Predicted
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16Dartmouth College2.33-9.68vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.87Brown University2.410.1%1st Place
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6.35Harvard University2.290.1%1st Place
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9.87Salve Regina University1.310.0%1st Place
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7.12Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.120.1%1st Place
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6.39Yale University2.310.1%1st Place
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7.15U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.110.1%1st Place
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7.1Bowdoin College2.130.1%1st Place
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11.64Roger Williams University0.740.0%1st Place
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7.26Boston College2.040.1%1st Place
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8.56Tufts University1.710.1%1st Place
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11.74Boston University0.720.0%1st Place
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7.98University of Rhode Island1.840.1%1st Place
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11.76Connecticut College0.730.0%1st Place
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13.47University of Vermont0.080.0%1st Place
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7.44Northeastern University2.030.1%1st Place
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6.32Dartmouth College2.330.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caroline Bayless | 11.3% | 10.7% | 11.4% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Marbella Marlo | 10.5% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 4.1% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 5.0% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 6.0% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 0.4% |
| Megan Grimes | 9.7% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Emma Snead | 6.9% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 0.4% |
| Lauren Russler | 8.8% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 5.1% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 0.1% |
| Katherine McGagh | 1.5% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 10.1% | 13.6% | 17.1% | 14.9% |
| Libby Redmond | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 1.5% |
| Annika Fedde | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 1.5% |
| Lucy Paskoff | 2.5% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 10.3% | 14.3% | 16.6% | 16.8% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 6.1% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 8.8% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 3.6% | 1.3% |
| Miya Preyer | 2.0% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 14.1% | 15.6% | 16.3% |
| Elizabeth Amelotte | 1.4% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 10.8% | 16.9% | 40.3% |
| Eva Ermlich | 7.7% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 0.4% |
| Gray Hemans | 8.9% | 10.0% | 8.0% | 10.9% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.