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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Salve Regina University3.31+2.08vs Predicted
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2University of Connecticut2.51+2.20vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.76+0.85vs Predicted
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4Brown University3.40-1.07vs Predicted
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5Yale University3.10-1.53vs Predicted
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6Boston University3.03-2.52vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.08Salve Regina University3.310.2%1st Place
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4.2University of Connecticut2.510.1%1st Place
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3.85Tufts University2.760.1%1st Place
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2.93Brown University3.400.2%1st Place
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3.47Yale University3.100.2%1st Place
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3.48Boston University3.030.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Schon | 21.4% | 20.2% | 20.2% | 15.4% | 13.1% | 9.7% |
| Sean Andrew | 9.9% | 12.2% | 12.1% | 14.0% | 17.9% | 33.9% |
| T. Max Bulger | 12.2% | 14.0% | 12.9% | 18.4% | 22.3% | 20.2% |
| Nikolas Osvalds | 23.6% | 20.9% | 19.0% | 18.1% | 12.6% | 5.8% |
| Genoa Warner | 16.4% | 17.6% | 17.7% | 15.3% | 17.2% | 15.8% |
| Ian Towill | 16.5% | 15.1% | 18.1% | 18.8% | 16.9% | 14.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.