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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.31+5.19vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College2.13+4.90vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.11+4.07vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.29+2.54vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island1.84+3.02vs Predicted
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6Brown University2.41+0.10vs Predicted
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7Boston College2.04+0.42vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University0.74+3.68vs Predicted
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9Salve Regina University1.31+0.86vs Predicted
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10Tufts University1.71-1.47vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College0.73+0.71vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.12-4.95vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University2.03-5.77vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont0.08-0.59vs Predicted
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15Boston University0.72-3.05vs Predicted
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16Dartmouth College2.33-9.68vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.19Yale University2.310.1%1st Place
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6.9Bowdoin College2.130.1%1st Place
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7.07U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.110.1%1st Place
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6.54Harvard University2.290.1%1st Place
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8.02University of Rhode Island1.840.1%1st Place
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6.1Brown University2.410.1%1st Place
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7.42Boston College2.040.1%1st Place
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11.68Roger Williams University0.740.0%1st Place
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9.86Salve Regina University1.310.0%1st Place
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8.53Tufts University1.710.1%1st Place
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11.71Connecticut College0.730.0%1st Place
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7.05Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.120.1%1st Place
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7.23Northeastern University2.030.1%1st Place
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13.41University of Vermont0.080.0%1st Place
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11.95Boston University0.720.0%1st Place
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6.32Dartmouth College2.330.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Megan Grimes | 10.2% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.6% |
| Lauren Russler | 8.3% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 1.0% | 1.0% |
| Emma Snead | 8.2% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 0.4% |
| Marbella Marlo | 9.1% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 9.1% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 1.1% |
| Caroline Bayless | 9.3% | 10.4% | 10.9% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Libby Redmond | 8.3% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 0.3% |
| Katherine McGagh | 1.7% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 7.2% | 11.2% | 12.4% | 17.9% | 15.2% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 5.4% |
| Annika Fedde | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 4.0% | 1.3% |
| Miya Preyer | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 10.7% | 14.1% | 17.4% | 16.0% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 8.4% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.7% |
| Eva Ermlich | 6.8% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Elizabeth Amelotte | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 11.9% | 16.9% | 39.6% |
| Lucy Paskoff | 2.2% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 15.6% | 16.2% | 17.6% |
| Gray Hemans | 8.6% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.