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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island1.33+2.11vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont1.32+1.22vs Predicted
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3Brown University0.64+1.37vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.30+2.06vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.02-1.42vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.18-0.77vs Predicted
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7University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.23-0.95vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.29-0.29vs Predicted
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9Salve Regina University-0.07-3.33vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.11University of Rhode Island1.330.2%1st Place
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3.22University of Vermont1.320.2%1st Place
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4.37Brown University0.640.1%1st Place
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6.06Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.300.0%1st Place
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3.58Tufts University1.020.2%1st Place
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5.23Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.180.1%1st Place
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6.05University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.230.1%1st Place
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7.71Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.290.0%1st Place
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5.67Salve Regina University-0.070.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam Strobridge | 24.3% | 19.3% | 20.1% | 14.7% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 4.1% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Calvin Lamosse | 20.3% | 22.7% | 17.5% | 15.4% | 10.8% | 7.6% | 3.9% | 1.2% | 0.6% |
| Keller Morrison | 10.9% | 12.6% | 14.5% | 14.0% | 16.1% | 13.0% | 10.2% | 6.9% | 1.8% |
| Michael Morley | 4.4% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 11.0% | 13.7% | 16.5% | 18.6% | 15.0% |
| Niall Sheridan | 18.8% | 19.1% | 17.1% | 12.0% | 12.9% | 9.4% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 1.0% |
| John Divelbiss | 7.5% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 11.7% | 15.1% | 14.6% | 15.5% | 12.3% | 6.2% |
| Tiernan O'Kane | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 9.0% | 11.6% | 13.7% | 17.6% | 21.5% | 11.7% |
| Norman Walker | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 8.9% | 17.2% | 54.5% |
| Sean Crandall | 6.7% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 11.1% | 10.6% | 15.0% | 17.8% | 16.6% | 9.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.