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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont1.32+2.11vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island1.33+1.25vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University-0.07+2.81vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.18+1.15vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.30+1.02vs Predicted
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6Brown University0.64-1.71vs Predicted
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7Tufts University1.02-3.33vs Predicted
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8University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.23-1.97vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.29-1.31vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.11University of Vermont1.320.2%1st Place
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3.25University of Rhode Island1.330.2%1st Place
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5.81Salve Regina University-0.070.1%1st Place
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5.15Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.180.1%1st Place
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6.02Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.300.0%1st Place
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4.29Brown University0.640.1%1st Place
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3.67Tufts University1.020.2%1st Place
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6.03University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.230.1%1st Place
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7.69Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.290.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Calvin Lamosse | 24.4% | 20.7% | 17.4% | 14.0% | 11.1% | 7.3% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Adam Strobridge | 21.3% | 20.3% | 19.2% | 14.3% | 10.5% | 7.9% | 4.3% | 2.0% | 0.2% |
| Sean Crandall | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 14.3% | 18.6% | 18.9% | 9.2% |
| John Divelbiss | 7.7% | 7.8% | 11.2% | 12.4% | 12.9% | 15.2% | 14.8% | 13.0% | 5.0% |
| Michael Morley | 4.4% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 10.3% | 13.2% | 15.3% | 18.7% | 15.9% |
| Keller Morrison | 12.2% | 12.3% | 13.2% | 15.9% | 16.5% | 12.1% | 10.5% | 5.7% | 1.6% |
| Niall Sheridan | 17.0% | 17.9% | 15.3% | 15.9% | 13.2% | 10.5% | 6.8% | 2.8% | 0.6% |
| Tiernan O'Kane | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 10.4% | 14.4% | 17.6% | 18.8% | 14.0% |
| Norman Walker | 1.9% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 8.5% | 18.7% | 53.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.