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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island1.33+2.12vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont1.32+1.27vs Predicted
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3Brown University0.64+1.37vs Predicted
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4Salve Regina University-0.07+1.62vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.18+0.10vs Predicted
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6University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.230.00vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.30-0.84vs Predicted
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8Tufts University1.02-4.31vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.29-1.31vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.12University of Rhode Island1.330.2%1st Place
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3.27University of Vermont1.320.2%1st Place
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4.37Brown University0.640.1%1st Place
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5.62Salve Regina University-0.070.1%1st Place
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5.1Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.180.1%1st Place
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6.0University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.230.0%1st Place
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6.16Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.300.1%1st Place
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3.69Tufts University1.020.2%1st Place
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7.69Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.290.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam Strobridge | 24.4% | 19.1% | 18.9% | 15.1% | 10.2% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Calvin Lamosse | 20.4% | 21.8% | 18.4% | 12.7% | 13.0% | 7.2% | 4.1% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| Keller Morrison | 12.5% | 10.7% | 14.6% | 14.1% | 14.8% | 14.4% | 11.2% | 5.6% | 2.1% |
| Sean Crandall | 5.8% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 13.1% | 13.7% | 14.9% | 18.7% | 8.6% |
| John Divelbiss | 7.6% | 9.4% | 11.4% | 13.6% | 11.4% | 13.9% | 13.6% | 12.6% | 6.5% |
| Tiernan O'Kane | 4.6% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 11.6% | 13.0% | 18.4% | 19.2% | 12.5% |
| Michael Morley | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 14.4% | 17.1% | 20.8% | 14.7% |
| Niall Sheridan | 17.7% | 18.2% | 14.2% | 14.6% | 13.8% | 11.3% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 0.9% |
| Norman Walker | 2.0% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 5.5% | 10.5% | 16.6% | 54.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.