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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont1.32+2.09vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island1.33+1.25vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University-0.07+2.80vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.02-0.43vs Predicted
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5Brown University0.64-0.77vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.30+0.09vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.18-1.73vs Predicted
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8University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.23-1.98vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.29-1.31vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.09University of Vermont1.320.2%1st Place
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3.25University of Rhode Island1.330.2%1st Place
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5.8Salve Regina University-0.070.0%1st Place
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3.57Tufts University1.020.2%1st Place
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4.23Brown University0.640.1%1st Place
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6.09Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.300.1%1st Place
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5.27Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.180.1%1st Place
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6.02University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.230.1%1st Place
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7.69Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.290.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Calvin Lamosse | 24.4% | 20.1% | 17.6% | 16.6% | 9.3% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Adam Strobridge | 19.1% | 23.5% | 17.7% | 14.8% | 11.6% | 7.5% | 3.7% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Sean Crandall | 4.8% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 11.3% | 13.6% | 19.1% | 18.1% | 9.4% |
| Niall Sheridan | 17.7% | 17.6% | 16.9% | 16.2% | 14.1% | 8.7% | 5.3% | 2.8% | 0.7% |
| Keller Morrison | 13.2% | 14.9% | 14.4% | 12.6% | 13.8% | 12.2% | 9.7% | 6.8% | 2.4% |
| Michael Morley | 5.3% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 13.8% | 18.6% | 18.2% | 14.7% |
| John Divelbiss | 7.5% | 7.4% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 14.7% | 17.7% | 13.5% | 13.5% | 6.0% |
| Tiernan O'Kane | 5.8% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 10.9% | 14.0% | 16.2% | 19.7% | 13.7% |
| Norman Walker | 2.2% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 9.7% | 18.1% | 52.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.