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📊 Prediction Accuracy
88.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont1.32+2.12vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island1.33+1.23vs Predicted
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3Brown University0.64+1.35vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.18+1.16vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.02-1.45vs Predicted
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6Salve Regina University-0.07-0.30vs Predicted
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7University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.23-0.97vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.30-1.84vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.29-1.30vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.12University of Vermont1.320.2%1st Place
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3.23University of Rhode Island1.330.2%1st Place
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4.35Brown University0.640.1%1st Place
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5.16Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.180.1%1st Place
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3.55Tufts University1.020.2%1st Place
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5.7Salve Regina University-0.070.1%1st Place
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6.03University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.230.1%1st Place
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6.16Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.300.1%1st Place
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7.7Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.290.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Calvin Lamosse | 24.2% | 18.9% | 19.5% | 15.2% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 3.7% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Adam Strobridge | 19.9% | 22.9% | 18.2% | 13.9% | 12.5% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Keller Morrison | 10.8% | 12.6% | 14.4% | 14.9% | 14.5% | 15.7% | 9.4% | 5.7% | 2.0% |
| John Divelbiss | 7.2% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 12.9% | 12.9% | 15.4% | 14.0% | 13.6% | 5.1% |
| Niall Sheridan | 19.1% | 19.1% | 16.4% | 12.1% | 14.2% | 9.4% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 1.0% |
| Sean Crandall | 6.0% | 5.5% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 12.7% | 14.6% | 17.4% | 16.4% | 9.5% |
| Tiernan O'Kane | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 10.1% | 10.3% | 12.8% | 18.5% | 20.9% | 11.9% |
| Michael Morley | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 10.4% | 12.6% | 16.7% | 19.5% | 16.7% |
| Norman Walker | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 10.6% | 17.9% | 53.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.