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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.02+2.63vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont1.32+1.28vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island1.33+0.05vs Predicted
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4Brown University0.64+0.26vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.30+1.02vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.18-0.75vs Predicted
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7University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.23-0.92vs Predicted
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8Salve Regina University-0.07-2.27vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.29-1.31vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.63Tufts University1.020.2%1st Place
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3.28University of Vermont1.320.2%1st Place
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3.05University of Rhode Island1.330.2%1st Place
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4.26Brown University0.640.1%1st Place
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6.02Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.300.0%1st Place
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5.25Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.180.1%1st Place
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6.08University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.230.1%1st Place
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5.73Salve Regina University-0.070.1%1st Place
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7.69Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.290.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Niall Sheridan | 18.2% | 17.0% | 16.0% | 15.9% | 12.3% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 2.7% | 0.3% |
| Calvin Lamosse | 18.6% | 23.5% | 17.6% | 15.5% | 10.8% | 7.4% | 4.3% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| Adam Strobridge | 25.0% | 20.9% | 17.2% | 13.4% | 12.6% | 7.2% | 2.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Keller Morrison | 13.2% | 12.7% | 13.5% | 14.6% | 14.6% | 13.6% | 10.0% | 6.0% | 1.8% |
| Michael Morley | 4.6% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 12.3% | 15.2% | 19.8% | 15.2% |
| John Divelbiss | 6.8% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 12.0% | 12.6% | 15.0% | 17.8% | 12.2% | 5.5% |
| Tiernan O'Kane | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 16.0% | 16.5% | 21.9% | 11.9% |
| Sean Crandall | 6.5% | 5.5% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 14.6% | 12.7% | 16.1% | 17.4% | 10.8% |
| Norman Walker | 2.0% | 1.9% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 6.2% | 9.3% | 17.6% | 53.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.