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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island1.33+2.10vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.02+1.80vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont1.32+0.08vs Predicted
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4Brown University0.64+0.24vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.29+2.59vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.18-0.77vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University-0.07-1.25vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.30-1.84vs Predicted
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9University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.23-2.96vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.1University of Rhode Island1.330.2%1st Place
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3.8Tufts University1.020.1%1st Place
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3.08University of Vermont1.320.2%1st Place
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4.24Brown University0.640.1%1st Place
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7.59Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.290.0%1st Place
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5.23Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.180.1%1st Place
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5.75Salve Regina University-0.070.1%1st Place
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6.16Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.300.1%1st Place
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6.04University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.230.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam Strobridge | 23.5% | 21.4% | 18.6% | 14.0% | 10.3% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Niall Sheridan | 13.7% | 19.2% | 15.3% | 16.5% | 13.8% | 9.7% | 7.3% | 3.3% | 1.2% |
| Calvin Lamosse | 24.2% | 21.1% | 18.3% | 13.0% | 11.5% | 7.0% | 3.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Keller Morrison | 13.1% | 13.1% | 13.9% | 15.5% | 13.8% | 13.0% | 9.0% | 6.0% | 2.6% |
| Norman Walker | 1.6% | 1.5% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 6.8% | 9.5% | 16.2% | 51.9% |
| John Divelbiss | 7.2% | 8.4% | 10.3% | 10.7% | 14.0% | 15.4% | 14.8% | 13.3% | 5.9% |
| Sean Crandall | 5.7% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 9.5% | 12.3% | 15.2% | 18.0% | 17.6% | 8.8% |
| Michael Morley | 5.6% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 11.2% | 16.0% | 22.1% | 15.8% |
| Tiernan O'Kane | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 10.1% | 15.5% | 16.5% | 19.6% | 13.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.