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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island1.33+2.10vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont1.32+1.24vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University-0.07+2.82vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.18+1.15vs Predicted
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5Brown University0.64-0.77vs Predicted
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6Tufts University1.02-2.41vs Predicted
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7University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.23-0.98vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.30-1.85vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.29-1.30vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.1University of Rhode Island1.330.2%1st Place
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3.24University of Vermont1.320.2%1st Place
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5.82Salve Regina University-0.070.1%1st Place
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5.15Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.180.1%1st Place
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4.23Brown University0.640.1%1st Place
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3.59Tufts University1.020.2%1st Place
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6.02University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.230.1%1st Place
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6.15Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.300.0%1st Place
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7.7Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.290.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam Strobridge | 24.0% | 20.1% | 19.0% | 15.1% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 3.7% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Calvin Lamosse | 21.0% | 20.6% | 19.1% | 14.5% | 11.1% | 8.1% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Sean Crandall | 5.2% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 10.3% | 10.8% | 13.6% | 18.7% | 18.9% | 9.4% |
| John Divelbiss | 7.1% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 12.5% | 15.3% | 14.7% | 14.2% | 13.0% | 4.8% |
| Keller Morrison | 13.2% | 15.6% | 13.5% | 12.3% | 14.3% | 12.0% | 10.0% | 6.4% | 2.7% |
| Niall Sheridan | 17.2% | 17.3% | 17.2% | 16.0% | 13.7% | 10.1% | 5.9% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| Tiernan O'Kane | 5.5% | 3.8% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 11.5% | 14.2% | 17.1% | 20.7% | 11.8% |
| Michael Morley | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 10.8% | 13.8% | 17.3% | 18.5% | 16.4% |
| Norman Walker | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 6.2% | 9.8% | 17.5% | 53.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.