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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.02+2.66vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island1.33+1.27vs Predicted
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3Brown University0.64+1.39vs Predicted
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4University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.23+1.94vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.18+0.12vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont1.32-2.97vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University-0.07-1.24vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.30-1.85vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.29-1.31vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.66Tufts University1.020.2%1st Place
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3.27University of Rhode Island1.330.2%1st Place
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4.39Brown University0.640.1%1st Place
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5.94University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.230.1%1st Place
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5.12Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.180.1%1st Place
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3.03University of Vermont1.320.3%1st Place
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5.76Salve Regina University-0.070.1%1st Place
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6.15Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.300.0%1st Place
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7.69Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.290.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Niall Sheridan | 17.6% | 16.7% | 16.1% | 16.6% | 11.5% | 11.4% | 7.2% | 2.4% | 0.5% |
| Adam Strobridge | 20.1% | 21.3% | 18.5% | 14.4% | 12.2% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 1.9% | 0.3% |
| Keller Morrison | 11.1% | 13.0% | 12.4% | 14.7% | 16.1% | 14.0% | 10.0% | 6.8% | 1.9% |
| Tiernan O'Kane | 5.7% | 4.5% | 7.0% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 13.5% | 17.1% | 19.5% | 11.9% |
| John Divelbiss | 7.6% | 9.2% | 12.1% | 11.4% | 13.2% | 13.3% | 14.4% | 11.7% | 7.1% |
| Calvin Lamosse | 25.1% | 20.5% | 18.8% | 13.9% | 11.2% | 6.3% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Sean Crandall | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 10.8% | 15.7% | 18.7% | 17.7% | 8.9% |
| Michael Morley | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 10.9% | 12.8% | 16.6% | 20.0% | 16.2% |
| Norman Walker | 1.9% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 19.1% | 52.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.