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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Salve Regina University3.31+2.09vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.40+0.88vs Predicted
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3University of Connecticut2.51+1.25vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.76-0.16vs Predicted
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5Boston University3.03-1.45vs Predicted
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6Yale University3.10-2.60vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.09Salve Regina University3.310.2%1st Place
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2.88Brown University3.400.3%1st Place
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4.25University of Connecticut2.510.1%1st Place
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3.84Tufts University2.760.1%1st Place
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3.55Boston University3.030.1%1st Place
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3.4Yale University3.100.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Schon | 21.1% | 20.5% | 20.0% | 15.1% | 13.6% | 9.7% |
| Nikolas Osvalds | 25.5% | 21.3% | 18.7% | 15.8% | 12.1% | 6.6% |
| Sean Andrew | 9.2% | 10.0% | 12.4% | 15.5% | 21.2% | 31.7% |
| T. Max Bulger | 12.4% | 13.7% | 14.4% | 18.1% | 19.5% | 21.9% |
| Ian Towill | 14.6% | 17.5% | 16.9% | 17.4% | 16.8% | 16.8% |
| Genoa Warner | 17.2% | 17.0% | 17.6% | 18.1% | 16.8% | 13.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.