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📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont1.32+2.15vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.02+1.73vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island1.33+0.18vs Predicted
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4Brown University0.64+0.40vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.18+0.35vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.30+0.32vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University-0.07-1.06vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.29+0.08vs Predicted
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9University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.23-2.77vs Predicted
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10Wesleyan University-1.58-1.40vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.15University of Vermont1.320.2%1st Place
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3.73Tufts University1.020.2%1st Place
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3.18University of Rhode Island1.330.2%1st Place
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4.4Brown University0.640.1%1st Place
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5.35Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.180.1%1st Place
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6.32Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.300.1%1st Place
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5.94Salve Regina University-0.070.0%1st Place
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8.08Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.290.0%1st Place
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6.23University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.230.0%1st Place
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8.6Wesleyan University-1.580.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Calvin Lamosse | 24.9% | 20.1% | 19.1% | 11.6% | 9.5% | 7.7% | 4.6% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Niall Sheridan | 16.2% | 17.5% | 16.9% | 15.4% | 12.6% | 9.5% | 7.2% | 3.4% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Adam Strobridge | 22.9% | 20.8% | 16.6% | 15.2% | 12.0% | 7.1% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Keller Morrison | 10.7% | 13.3% | 13.8% | 15.7% | 13.7% | 12.6% | 10.4% | 6.7% | 2.6% | 0.5% |
| John Divelbiss | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 12.1% | 12.8% | 14.1% | 15.7% | 10.7% | 8.3% | 2.0% |
| Michael Morley | 6.0% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 9.8% | 12.3% | 14.5% | 18.3% | 14.5% | 7.0% |
| Sean Crandall | 4.2% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 11.3% | 13.2% | 17.0% | 14.1% | 11.5% | 4.3% |
| Norman Walker | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 13.4% | 27.2% | 31.7% |
| Tiernan O'Kane | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 10.5% | 12.8% | 13.4% | 19.8% | 12.9% | 5.7% |
| Dennis Law | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 10.3% | 20.9% | 48.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.