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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island1.75+0.97vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.49+4.22vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.27-0.44vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont0.57-1.57vs Predicted
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6Brown University0.58-2.58vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.46-0.84vs Predicted
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8University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.07-1.14vs Predicted
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9Salve Regina University-0.90-3.61vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.97University of Rhode Island1.750.5%1st Place
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6.22Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.490.0%1st Place
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2.56Tufts University1.270.2%1st Place
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3.43University of Vermont0.570.1%1st Place
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3.42Brown University0.580.1%1st Place
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6.16Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.460.0%1st Place
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6.86University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.070.0%1st Place
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5.39Salve Regina University-0.900.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Max Sigel | 45.1% | 26.8% | 17.4% | 8.0% | 2.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jillian Harrington | 1.7% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 5.6% | 12.6% | 23.3% | 28.3% | 22.8% |
| Marina Garrido | 24.7% | 28.2% | 24.1% | 15.1% | 6.0% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Caitlin Derby | 11.8% | 16.5% | 21.0% | 27.6% | 15.6% | 5.8% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Daniel van Heeckeren | 12.1% | 16.5% | 23.2% | 24.3% | 15.5% | 6.8% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Kolby Seibert | 1.4% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 14.1% | 23.6% | 27.9% | 20.9% |
| Ozel Yilmazel | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 7.3% | 14.5% | 22.6% | 47.7% |
| Garrett Moen | 2.0% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 10.5% | 26.4% | 24.3% | 17.9% | 8.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.