← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Rhode Island1.75+0.98vs Predicted
-
2Brown University0.58+1.41vs Predicted
-
3University of Vermont0.57+0.44vs Predicted
-
5Salve Regina University-0.90+0.47vs Predicted
-
6Tufts University1.27-3.46vs Predicted
-
7Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.49-0.82vs Predicted
-
8University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.07-1.10vs Predicted
-
9Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.46-2.91vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
1.98University of Rhode Island1.750.4%1st Place
-
3.41Brown University0.580.1%1st Place
-
3.44University of Vermont0.570.1%1st Place
-
5.47Salve Regina University-0.900.0%1st Place
-
2.54Tufts University1.270.3%1st Place
-
6.18Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.490.0%1st Place
-
6.9University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.070.0%1st Place
-
6.09Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.460.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Max Sigel | 44.2% | 29.0% | 14.9% | 9.0% | 2.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Daniel van Heeckeren | 12.3% | 14.9% | 24.9% | 24.8% | 14.7% | 7.1% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Caitlin Derby | 12.4% | 15.8% | 21.8% | 25.7% | 15.8% | 6.8% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Garrett Moen | 2.2% | 4.4% | 6.9% | 10.2% | 21.4% | 25.5% | 20.5% | 8.9% |
| Marina Garrido | 25.2% | 28.9% | 22.2% | 16.7% | 5.3% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Jillian Harrington | 1.5% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 15.5% | 23.5% | 24.1% | 24.0% |
| Ozel Yilmazel | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 3.5% | 7.8% | 12.4% | 24.0% | 48.2% |
| Kolby Seibert | 1.0% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 16.8% | 23.2% | 28.4% | 18.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.