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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont0.57+2.37vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island1.75+0.04vs Predicted
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3Brown University0.58+0.40vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.27-1.44vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.49+0.21vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.46-0.84vs Predicted
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8Salve Regina University-0.90-2.55vs Predicted
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9University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.07-2.18vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.37University of Vermont0.570.1%1st Place
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2.04University of Rhode Island1.750.4%1st Place
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3.4Brown University0.580.1%1st Place
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2.56Tufts University1.270.3%1st Place
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6.21Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.490.0%1st Place
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6.16Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.460.0%1st Place
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5.45Salve Regina University-0.900.0%1st Place
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6.82University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.070.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caitlin Derby | 12.8% | 17.9% | 21.1% | 25.7% | 14.9% | 5.9% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Max Sigel | 41.1% | 29.1% | 18.7% | 7.7% | 2.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Daniel van Heeckeren | 13.4% | 16.8% | 20.4% | 25.7% | 15.6% | 6.2% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Marina Garrido | 25.3% | 27.1% | 24.3% | 15.3% | 6.3% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Jillian Harrington | 1.7% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 5.8% | 14.6% | 22.2% | 27.1% | 23.4% |
| Kolby Seibert | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 14.7% | 23.4% | 25.0% | 23.2% |
| Garrett Moen | 2.9% | 3.5% | 6.7% | 10.0% | 23.5% | 25.8% | 18.1% | 9.5% |
| Ozel Yilmazel | 1.0% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 3.9% | 7.5% | 14.7% | 26.3% | 43.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.