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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island1.75+1.03vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.27+0.63vs Predicted
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3Brown University0.58+0.50vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont0.90-0.91vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.49+0.25vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.46-0.82vs Predicted
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8Salve Regina University-0.90-2.50vs Predicted
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9University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.07-2.17vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.03University of Rhode Island1.750.4%1st Place
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2.63Tufts University1.270.2%1st Place
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3.5Brown University0.580.1%1st Place
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3.09University of Vermont0.900.2%1st Place
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6.25Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.490.0%1st Place
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6.18Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.460.0%1st Place
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5.5Salve Regina University-0.900.0%1st Place
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6.83University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.070.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Max Sigel | 41.5% | 29.3% | 18.2% | 7.4% | 3.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Marina Garrido | 22.7% | 28.1% | 23.3% | 17.0% | 7.0% | 1.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Daniel van Heeckeren | 12.5% | 14.4% | 20.8% | 26.3% | 17.5% | 6.6% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Luke Quine | 16.6% | 19.2% | 24.1% | 24.5% | 11.4% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Jillian Harrington | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 5.7% | 14.8% | 22.5% | 27.4% | 23.5% |
| Kolby Seibert | 1.6% | 2.1% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 15.9% | 23.9% | 24.9% | 23.2% |
| Garrett Moen | 2.8% | 3.2% | 5.7% | 10.4% | 23.3% | 26.4% | 18.7% | 9.5% |
| Ozel Yilmazel | 0.6% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 4.1% | 6.8% | 15.5% | 26.2% | 43.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.