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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island1.75+1.05vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont0.90+1.09vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.27-0.42vs Predicted
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4Brown University0.58-0.51vs Predicted
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6Salve Regina University-0.90-0.52vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.49-0.76vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.46-1.78vs Predicted
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9University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.07-2.15vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.05University of Rhode Island1.750.4%1st Place
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3.09University of Vermont0.900.2%1st Place
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2.58Tufts University1.270.2%1st Place
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3.49Brown University0.580.1%1st Place
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5.48Salve Regina University-0.900.0%1st Place
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6.24Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.490.0%1st Place
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6.22Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.460.0%1st Place
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6.85University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.070.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Max Sigel | 41.7% | 28.0% | 17.7% | 9.3% | 3.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Luke Quine | 15.8% | 19.9% | 25.0% | 23.3% | 11.3% | 4.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Marina Garrido | 24.1% | 26.8% | 26.0% | 14.9% | 6.6% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Daniel van Heeckeren | 11.8% | 16.5% | 17.0% | 29.8% | 17.9% | 4.9% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Garrett Moen | 3.1% | 3.1% | 5.4% | 9.1% | 25.5% | 26.4% | 19.0% | 8.4% |
| Jillian Harrington | 1.4% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 5.1% | 15.1% | 23.5% | 26.3% | 23.6% |
| Kolby Seibert | 1.7% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 13.5% | 23.4% | 25.9% | 24.2% |
| Ozel Yilmazel | 0.4% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 7.1% | 16.3% | 26.0% | 43.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.