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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island1.75+1.06vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.61+0.26vs Predicted
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3Brown University0.58+0.49vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont0.57-0.49vs Predicted
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6University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.07+0.90vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University-0.90-1.56vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.49-1.76vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.46-2.90vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.06University of Rhode Island1.750.4%1st Place
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2.26Tufts University1.610.3%1st Place
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3.49Brown University0.580.1%1st Place
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3.51University of Vermont0.570.1%1st Place
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6.9University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.070.0%1st Place
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5.44Salve Regina University-0.900.0%1st Place
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6.24Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.490.0%1st Place
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6.1Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.460.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Max Sigel | 39.3% | 30.5% | 19.2% | 8.0% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adam Larzelere | 31.8% | 30.8% | 22.6% | 10.5% | 3.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Daniel van Heeckeren | 11.4% | 14.6% | 23.9% | 25.2% | 16.3% | 6.3% | 2.0% | 0.3% |
| Caitlin Derby | 10.7% | 15.3% | 21.3% | 28.2% | 16.5% | 5.7% | 2.0% | 0.3% |
| Ozel Yilmazel | 0.6% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 3.6% | 7.7% | 14.2% | 24.1% | 46.9% |
| Garrett Moen | 3.0% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 11.3% | 25.3% | 24.2% | 19.5% | 8.2% |
| Jillian Harrington | 1.8% | 1.6% | 3.2% | 6.5% | 13.1% | 22.6% | 27.2% | 24.0% |
| Kolby Seibert | 1.4% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 6.7% | 15.3% | 25.8% | 24.9% | 20.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.