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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.61+1.20vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island1.75+0.12vs Predicted
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3Brown University0.58+0.48vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont0.57-0.49vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.46+0.21vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University-0.90-1.56vs Predicted
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8University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.07-1.08vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.49-2.87vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.2Tufts University1.610.3%1st Place
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2.12University of Rhode Island1.750.4%1st Place
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3.48Brown University0.580.1%1st Place
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3.51University of Vermont0.570.1%1st Place
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6.21Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.460.0%1st Place
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5.44Salve Regina University-0.900.0%1st Place
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6.92University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.070.0%1st Place
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6.13Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.490.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam Larzelere | 33.9% | 30.8% | 21.3% | 10.3% | 3.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Max Sigel | 36.2% | 30.8% | 21.3% | 8.4% | 2.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Daniel van Heeckeren | 11.7% | 14.9% | 23.3% | 25.2% | 16.4% | 6.4% | 1.9% | 0.2% |
| Caitlin Derby | 11.0% | 14.5% | 21.2% | 29.0% | 16.8% | 5.5% | 1.9% | 0.1% |
| Kolby Seibert | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 6.6% | 14.4% | 22.3% | 29.3% | 21.3% |
| Garrett Moen | 3.1% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 11.2% | 24.2% | 26.5% | 17.4% | 8.9% |
| Ozel Yilmazel | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 3.5% | 7.7% | 13.1% | 22.0% | 49.9% |
| Jillian Harrington | 1.4% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 5.8% | 14.5% | 25.2% | 27.5% | 19.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.