← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Tufts University1.61+1.21vs Predicted
-
2University of Rhode Island1.75+0.11vs Predicted
-
3Salve Regina University-0.90+2.41vs Predicted
-
4University of Vermont0.57-0.50vs Predicted
-
5Brown University0.58-1.49vs Predicted
-
7Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.46-0.82vs Predicted
-
8University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.07-1.08vs Predicted
-
9Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.49-2.84vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.21Tufts University1.610.4%1st Place
-
2.11University of Rhode Island1.750.4%1st Place
-
5.41Salve Regina University-0.900.0%1st Place
-
3.5University of Vermont0.570.1%1st Place
-
3.51Brown University0.580.1%1st Place
-
6.18Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.460.0%1st Place
-
6.92University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.070.0%1st Place
-
6.16Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.490.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam Larzelere | 35.1% | 29.7% | 20.3% | 10.0% | 3.8% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Max Sigel | 37.1% | 31.3% | 18.5% | 10.4% | 2.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Garrett Moen | 2.8% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 12.3% | 20.3% | 26.2% | 19.6% | 8.2% |
| Caitlin Derby | 10.9% | 14.9% | 20.5% | 29.5% | 17.2% | 5.2% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Daniel van Heeckeren | 10.6% | 14.2% | 25.5% | 23.6% | 17.8% | 6.3% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Kolby Seibert | 1.4% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 6.4% | 14.5% | 23.5% | 26.3% | 22.3% |
| Ozel Yilmazel | 1.0% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 8.1% | 13.4% | 22.2% | 49.5% |
| Jillian Harrington | 1.1% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 5.3% | 16.0% | 23.9% | 28.6% | 19.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.