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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.40+1.94vs Predicted
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2Salve Regina University3.31+1.04vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.10+0.33vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.76-0.15vs Predicted
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5Boston University3.03-1.41vs Predicted
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8University of Connecticut2.51-3.75vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.94Brown University3.400.2%1st Place
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3.04Salve Regina University3.310.2%1st Place
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3.33Yale University3.100.2%1st Place
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3.85Tufts University2.760.1%1st Place
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3.59Boston University3.030.1%1st Place
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4.25University of Connecticut2.510.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikolas Osvalds | 23.1% | 22.2% | 19.0% | 16.7% | 11.1% | 7.9% |
| Matthew Schon | 22.3% | 20.9% | 19.2% | 14.6% | 14.2% | 8.8% |
| Genoa Warner | 17.8% | 17.8% | 17.3% | 18.4% | 17.6% | 11.1% |
| T. Max Bulger | 12.8% | 12.3% | 15.2% | 17.7% | 20.8% | 21.2% |
| Ian Towill | 14.7% | 16.4% | 16.8% | 17.4% | 16.9% | 17.8% |
| Sean Andrew | 9.3% | 10.4% | 12.5% | 15.2% | 19.4% | 33.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.