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📊 Prediction Accuracy
88.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island1.75+1.17vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.61+0.40vs Predicted
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3Brown University0.58+0.62vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont0.90-1.93vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.46+0.38vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.49-0.55vs Predicted
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8University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.07-0.68vs Predicted
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9Wesleyan University-2.65-1.06vs Predicted
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10Salve Regina University-0.90-4.36vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.17University of Rhode Island1.750.4%1st Place
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2.4Tufts University1.610.3%1st Place
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3.62Brown University0.580.1%1st Place
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3.07University of Vermont0.900.2%1st Place
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6.38Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.460.0%1st Place
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6.45Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.490.0%1st Place
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7.32University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.070.0%1st Place
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7.94Wesleyan University-2.650.0%1st Place
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5.64Salve Regina University-0.900.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Max Sigel | 36.6% | 28.7% | 20.2% | 10.6% | 3.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adam Larzelere | 29.5% | 29.2% | 21.6% | 12.4% | 6.0% | 1.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Daniel van Heeckeren | 10.5% | 14.2% | 18.8% | 27.5% | 19.1% | 8.3% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Luke Quine | 17.1% | 18.6% | 25.8% | 22.5% | 11.5% | 3.4% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kolby Seibert | 1.3% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 6.6% | 15.5% | 21.3% | 21.0% | 19.0% | 10.4% |
| Jillian Harrington | 1.0% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 6.4% | 13.0% | 20.8% | 25.1% | 20.0% | 9.1% |
| Ozel Yilmazel | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 5.6% | 12.8% | 19.9% | 30.3% | 25.1% |
| Benjamin Siegel | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 4.4% | 6.9% | 12.6% | 19.8% | 52.5% |
| Garrett Moen | 2.6% | 3.6% | 5.8% | 9.3% | 21.6% | 24.6% | 19.0% | 10.6% | 2.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.