Race 3A

pacific-coast-open-fleet-race-championships

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Chris Kayda 17.7% 18.1% 18.6% 12.0% 11.4% 7.5% 6.8% 3.4% 2.3% 0.8% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
Michelle Lahrkamp 33.7% 26.3% 16.2% 10.8% 6.1% 3.8% 2.0% 0.5% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Owen Lahr 11.3% 12.2% 14.2% 14.8% 11.8% 9.5% 9.4% 6.8% 4.5% 3.3% 1.1% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
Blake Roberts 1.7% 3.1% 4.8% 5.5% 6.1% 6.1% 8.6% 7.9% 8.3% 10.1% 10.9% 13.0% 11.8% 2.1%
Grant Janov 7.4% 9.7% 11.3% 13.4% 11.6% 12.1% 9.6% 7.2% 7.1% 4.6% 3.5% 1.7% 0.8% 0.0%
Nate Ingebritson 3.2% 3.3% 4.7% 5.0% 5.6% 8.1% 8.3% 9.9% 9.7% 10.7% 9.7% 10.0% 10.3% 1.5%
Ryan Downey 4.8% 6.0% 6.7% 6.9% 9.1% 8.7% 8.2% 9.8% 9.1% 10.9% 7.5% 7.9% 3.7% 0.7%
Morgana Manti 3.5% 4.5% 4.8% 4.4% 6.9% 6.8% 8.2% 8.2% 8.1% 11.6% 10.1% 9.6% 11.3% 2.0%
Dalton Lovett 3.3% 2.4% 2.1% 3.9% 4.7% 6.0% 6.0% 8.5% 10.8% 9.6% 13.0% 13.6% 13.9% 2.2%
Aidan Boylan 2.8% 3.6% 2.7% 4.4% 7.3% 6.8% 8.3% 9.3% 8.7% 8.5% 12.5% 11.9% 11.7% 1.5%
Kai Ponting 4.3% 5.0% 6.2% 8.6% 8.6% 9.7% 9.1% 9.4% 10.6% 9.2% 7.4% 6.2% 5.3% 0.4%
Noah Barton 2.1% 2.6% 4.4% 4.7% 4.8% 7.6% 6.9% 9.5% 8.7% 10.5% 10.6% 11.8% 13.5% 2.3%
Benjamin Luu 4.0% 3.1% 3.2% 5.3% 5.4% 7.2% 8.0% 8.7% 11.0% 9.1% 10.8% 10.8% 11.9% 1.5%
Sriskandha Kandimalla 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.3% 0.6% 0.1% 0.6% 0.9% 0.9% 0.9% 1.9% 2.1% 5.5% 85.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.