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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.99+1.71vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii2.38+1.74vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara2.34+0.89vs Predicted
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4University of California at Los Angeles1.70+1.54vs Predicted
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5California Poly Maritime Academy0.93+2.69vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Cruz0.54+2.87vs Predicted
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7Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.05+0.01vs Predicted
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8University of California at San Diego0.50+0.75vs Predicted
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9University of Southern California0.64-0.52vs Predicted
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10Arizona State University0.59-1.27vs Predicted
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11Western Washington University0.41-1.86vs Predicted
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12University of California at Berkeley0.71-3.68vs Predicted
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13University of Washington0.55-4.39vs Predicted
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14University of California at Irvine-2.30-0.47vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.71Stanford University2.990.3%1st Place
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3.74University of Hawaii2.380.2%1st Place
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3.89University of California at Santa Barbara2.340.2%1st Place
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5.54University of California at Los Angeles1.700.1%1st Place
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7.69California Poly Maritime Academy0.930.0%1st Place
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8.87University of California at Santa Cruz0.540.0%1st Place
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7.01Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.050.1%1st Place
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8.75University of California at San Diego0.500.0%1st Place
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8.48University of Southern California0.640.0%1st Place
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8.73Arizona State University0.590.0%1st Place
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9.14Western Washington University0.410.0%1st Place
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8.32University of California at Berkeley0.710.0%1st Place
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8.61University of Washington0.550.0%1st Place
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13.53University of California at Irvine-2.300.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 32.8% | 23.3% | 16.0% | 11.9% | 7.9% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Erik Anderson | 18.4% | 17.3% | 16.7% | 14.9% | 12.0% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Chris Kayda | 15.9% | 16.6% | 17.5% | 14.7% | 10.9% | 10.1% | 6.9% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Grant Janov | 6.7% | 10.2% | 10.9% | 11.2% | 14.0% | 12.9% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Downey | 3.2% | 3.9% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 10.8% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 5.7% | 0.5% |
| Blake Roberts | 2.1% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 10.3% | 10.0% | 11.7% | 12.3% | 12.7% | 2.3% |
| Kai Ponting | 5.0% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 0.5% |
| Noah Barton | 2.5% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 10.1% | 10.8% | 10.1% | 14.5% | 2.6% |
| Morgana Manti | 3.1% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 10.6% | 10.8% | 10.7% | 10.9% | 11.7% | 9.0% | 1.4% |
| Aidan Boylan | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 11.0% | 10.4% | 12.5% | 12.2% | 1.6% |
| Dalton Lovett | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 11.2% | 11.7% | 12.5% | 16.0% | 2.0% |
| Nate Ingebritson | 2.4% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 11.2% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 1.6% |
| Benjamin Luu | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 10.5% | 11.2% | 12.8% | 10.5% | 1.7% |
| Sriskandha Kandimalla | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 5.0% | 85.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.