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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii2.38+2.85vs Predicted
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2Stanford University2.99+0.64vs Predicted
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3University of California at Los Angeles1.70+2.46vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara2.34-0.06vs Predicted
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5University of Southern California0.64+3.55vs Predicted
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6University of California at San Diego0.50+2.97vs Predicted
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7University of California at Berkeley0.71+1.01vs Predicted
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8Arizona State University0.59+0.52vs Predicted
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9Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.05-1.67vs Predicted
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10California Poly Maritime Academy0.93-2.31vs Predicted
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11University of Washington0.55-2.28vs Predicted
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12University of California at Santa Cruz0.54-3.23vs Predicted
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13Western Washington University0.41-3.99vs Predicted
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14University of California at Irvine-2.30-0.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.85University of Hawaii2.380.2%1st Place
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2.64Stanford University2.990.3%1st Place
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5.46University of California at Los Angeles1.700.1%1st Place
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3.94University of California at Santa Barbara2.340.2%1st Place
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8.55University of Southern California0.640.0%1st Place
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8.97University of California at San Diego0.500.0%1st Place
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8.01University of California at Berkeley0.710.0%1st Place
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8.52Arizona State University0.590.0%1st Place
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7.33Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.050.1%1st Place
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7.69California Poly Maritime Academy0.930.0%1st Place
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8.72University of Washington0.550.0%1st Place
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8.77University of California at Santa Cruz0.540.0%1st Place
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9.01Western Washington University0.410.0%1st Place
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13.54University of California at Irvine-2.300.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erik Anderson | 16.4% | 18.9% | 16.6% | 14.2% | 11.3% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 32.7% | 24.0% | 17.3% | 12.4% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Grant Janov | 8.3% | 9.2% | 12.2% | 11.9% | 11.9% | 11.1% | 9.9% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Chris Kayda | 15.3% | 17.6% | 16.9% | 13.7% | 12.4% | 10.0% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Morgana Manti | 2.9% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 10.6% | 10.4% | 10.4% | 10.5% | 12.0% | 1.3% |
| Noah Barton | 1.9% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 11.8% | 10.6% | 13.1% | 13.5% | 2.3% |
| Nate Ingebritson | 3.5% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 7.8% | 1.0% |
| Aidan Boylan | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 11.1% | 12.1% | 2.2% |
| Kai Ponting | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 10.6% | 11.2% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 3.6% | 0.8% |
| Ryan Downey | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 10.9% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 4.7% | 0.6% |
| Benjamin Luu | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 13.0% | 12.2% | 10.9% | 1.4% |
| Blake Roberts | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 11.1% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 10.5% | 13.9% | 2.0% |
| Dalton Lovett | 3.2% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 12.9% | 15.3% | 2.2% |
| Sriskandha Kandimalla | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 5.2% | 86.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.