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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College4.43+3.01vs Predicted
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2Harvard University3.67+3.97vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island3.92+2.39vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College3.71+2.10vs Predicted
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5Yale University3.50+1.83vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.30+1.44vs Predicted
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7Brown University3.79-1.47vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont2.86+0.62vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College3.23-1.41vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College2.65-0.50vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.95-2.50vs Predicted
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12Tufts University3.48-5.23vs Predicted
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13Brandeis University1.35-0.71vs Predicted
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14Boston University2.21-3.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.01Boston College4.430.2%1st Place
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5.97Harvard University3.670.1%1st Place
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5.39University of Rhode Island3.920.1%1st Place
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6.1Connecticut College3.710.1%1st Place
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6.83Yale University3.500.1%1st Place
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7.44U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.300.1%1st Place
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5.53Brown University3.790.1%1st Place
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8.62University of Vermont2.860.0%1st Place
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7.59Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
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9.5Bowdoin College2.650.0%1st Place
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8.5Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.950.0%1st Place
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6.77Tufts University3.480.1%1st Place
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12.29Brandeis University1.350.0%1st Place
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10.46Boston University2.210.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anne Haeger | 20.1% | 16.8% | 16.5% | 10.2% | 11.1% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Emily Lambert | 9.0% | 11.0% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 0.6% |
| Amy Hawkins | 11.2% | 12.4% | 11.2% | 10.6% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Atlantic Brugman | 7.6% | 9.9% | 11.0% | 8.0% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 0.5% |
| Claire Dennis | 5.9% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 1.1% |
| Krysta Rohde | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 2.0% |
| Elizabeth Barry | 11.2% | 12.0% | 9.7% | 10.6% | 9.9% | 10.0% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Alexandra Arntsen | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 11.9% | 11.9% | 5.6% |
| Chandler Salisbury | 6.6% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 4.8% | 2.5% |
| Phoebe Sprague | 3.0% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 10.9% | 15.3% | 15.2% | 8.8% |
| Katii Gullick | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 10.9% | 10.8% | 10.3% | 5.1% |
| Natalie Salk | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 3.6% | 1.2% |
| Andrea Verdeja | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 7.9% | 13.9% | 56.2% |
| Erica Lush | 2.3% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 8.8% | 14.9% | 23.0% | 16.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.