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📊 Prediction Accuracy
64.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.99+1.66vs Predicted
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2California Poly Maritime Academy0.93+5.40vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii2.38+0.79vs Predicted
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4University of California at San Diego0.50+4.93vs Predicted
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5University of California at Los Angeles1.70+0.61vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Barbara2.34-1.97vs Predicted
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7University of California at Berkeley0.71+1.01vs Predicted
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8University of Southern California0.64+0.40vs Predicted
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9Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.05-1.63vs Predicted
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10University of Washington0.55-1.20vs Predicted
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11Arizona State University0.59-2.34vs Predicted
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12Western Washington University0.41-2.86vs Predicted
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13University of California at Santa Cruz0.54-4.33vs Predicted
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14University of California at Irvine-2.30-0.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.66Stanford University2.990.3%1st Place
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7.4California Poly Maritime Academy0.930.0%1st Place
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3.79University of Hawaii2.380.2%1st Place
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8.93University of California at San Diego0.500.0%1st Place
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5.61University of California at Los Angeles1.700.1%1st Place
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4.03University of California at Santa Barbara2.340.1%1st Place
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8.01University of California at Berkeley0.710.0%1st Place
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8.4University of Southern California0.640.0%1st Place
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7.37Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.050.0%1st Place
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8.8University of Washington0.550.0%1st Place
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8.66Arizona State University0.590.0%1st Place
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9.14Western Washington University0.410.0%1st Place
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8.67University of California at Santa Cruz0.540.0%1st Place
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13.54University of California at Irvine-2.300.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 34.1% | 22.9% | 16.9% | 10.3% | 7.6% | 4.5% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Downey | 4.1% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 11.2% | 9.1% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 0.3% |
| Erik Anderson | 16.5% | 19.8% | 15.8% | 13.7% | 11.7% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Noah Barton | 1.5% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 11.6% | 14.3% | 12.5% | 2.6% |
| Grant Janov | 7.2% | 9.1% | 11.4% | 11.4% | 12.3% | 11.8% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Chris Kayda | 14.6% | 17.1% | 15.1% | 16.2% | 12.7% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nate Ingebritson | 3.8% | 2.9% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 10.7% | 10.4% | 10.8% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 0.8% |
| Morgana Manti | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 10.4% | 9.9% | 11.9% | 10.3% | 2.1% |
| Kai Ponting | 4.6% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 11.2% | 10.4% | 10.7% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 4.2% | 0.4% |
| Benjamin Luu | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 10.6% | 8.9% | 11.8% | 11.2% | 13.4% | 2.0% |
| Aidan Boylan | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 10.1% | 11.4% | 11.7% | 11.2% | 11.8% | 1.6% |
| Dalton Lovett | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 10.6% | 10.7% | 12.3% | 16.3% | 2.4% |
| Blake Roberts | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 10.7% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 12.1% | 12.1% | 1.8% |
| Sriskandha Kandimalla | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 5.6% | 86.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.