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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara2.34+2.37vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii1.94+2.19vs Predicted
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3Arizona State University0.59+4.89vs Predicted
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4Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.05+2.55vs Predicted
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5Stanford University1.47+0.24vs Predicted
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6University of California at Berkeley0.71+1.41vs Predicted
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7University of Washington0.55+0.80vs Predicted
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8University of California at Los Angeles1.70-3.28vs Predicted
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9University of California at San Diego0.50-0.85vs Predicted
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10California Poly Maritime Academy0.93-3.19vs Predicted
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11Western Washington University0.41-2.87vs Predicted
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12University of California at Santa Cruz0.54-3.89vs Predicted
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13University of California at Irvine-2.30-0.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.37University of California at Santa Barbara2.340.2%1st Place
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4.19University of Hawaii1.940.2%1st Place
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7.89Arizona State University0.590.0%1st Place
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6.55Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.050.1%1st Place
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5.24Stanford University1.470.1%1st Place
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7.41University of California at Berkeley0.710.1%1st Place
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7.8University of Washington0.550.1%1st Place
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4.72University of California at Los Angeles1.700.1%1st Place
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8.15University of California at San Diego0.500.0%1st Place
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6.81California Poly Maritime Academy0.930.1%1st Place
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8.13Western Washington University0.410.0%1st Place
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8.11University of California at Santa Cruz0.540.0%1st Place
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12.61University of California at Irvine-2.300.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Kayda | 23.9% | 19.0% | 18.1% | 12.8% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Owen Lahr | 15.5% | 16.6% | 13.6% | 13.3% | 12.6% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Boylan | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 12.2% | 12.4% | 11.7% | 12.3% | 1.2% |
| Kai Ponting | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 4.8% | 0.3% |
| Patricia Gerli | 10.6% | 12.2% | 12.5% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 11.1% | 9.2% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Nate Ingebritson | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 11.7% | 10.8% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 1.4% |
| Benjamin Luu | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 12.1% | 13.1% | 13.0% | 1.5% |
| Grant Janov | 12.6% | 13.1% | 13.6% | 12.3% | 10.2% | 11.5% | 10.2% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Noah Barton | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 11.5% | 9.5% | 11.3% | 11.8% | 16.7% | 2.2% |
| Ryan Downey | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 10.1% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 5.6% | 1.0% |
| Dalton Lovett | 3.1% | 2.9% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 12.0% | 11.6% | 11.0% | 16.2% | 2.3% |
| Blake Roberts | 2.9% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 11.0% | 15.3% | 14.3% | 2.3% |
| Sriskandha Kandimalla | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 4.4% | 87.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.