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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island3.92+4.38vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.79+3.58vs Predicted
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3Boston College4.43+0.99vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.50+2.76vs Predicted
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5Harvard University3.67+1.34vs Predicted
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6Tufts University3.48+0.93vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.30+0.06vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont2.86+0.67vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College3.23-1.36vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College3.71-3.93vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.95-2.51vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College2.65-2.67vs Predicted
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13Boston University2.21-2.54vs Predicted
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14Brandeis University1.35-1.68vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.38University of Rhode Island3.920.1%1st Place
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5.58Brown University3.790.1%1st Place
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3.99Boston College4.430.2%1st Place
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6.76Yale University3.500.1%1st Place
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6.34Harvard University3.670.1%1st Place
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6.93Tufts University3.480.1%1st Place
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7.06U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.300.1%1st Place
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8.67University of Vermont2.860.0%1st Place
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7.64Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
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6.07Connecticut College3.710.1%1st Place
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8.49Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.950.0%1st Place
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9.33Bowdoin College2.650.0%1st Place
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10.46Boston University2.210.0%1st Place
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12.32Brandeis University1.350.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amy Hawkins | 11.5% | 12.3% | 11.1% | 10.3% | 11.1% | 9.5% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.6% |
| Elizabeth Barry | 10.6% | 12.4% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 10.3% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Anne Haeger | 19.3% | 17.7% | 15.3% | 11.2% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Claire Dennis | 6.5% | 6.9% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 10.9% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 5.9% | 3.1% | 0.9% |
| Emily Lambert | 7.4% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 10.7% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 0.7% |
| Natalie Salk | 7.5% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 0.8% |
| Krysta Rohde | 7.0% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 1.2% |
| Alexandra Arntsen | 4.8% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 10.4% | 11.4% | 13.5% | 5.7% |
| Chandler Salisbury | 6.2% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 9.6% | 11.1% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 2.2% |
| Atlantic Brugman | 8.8% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 10.9% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Katii Gullick | 4.3% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 11.5% | 10.2% | 5.2% |
| Phoebe Sprague | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 12.8% | 14.6% | 8.6% |
| Erica Lush | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 13.1% | 20.8% | 18.4% |
| Andrea Verdeja | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 14.0% | 54.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.