Race 11B

pacific-coast-open-fleet-race-championships

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Ted McDonough 8.0% 10.8% 12.3% 13.2% 11.9% 10.3% 10.5% 8.5% 5.6% 4.5% 2.6% 1.3% 0.5%
Justin Lim 36.0% 24.7% 17.2% 10.3% 5.4% 3.9% 1.5% 0.3% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Max Case 2.7% 3.0% 3.5% 7.0% 7.8% 8.2% 7.3% 10.4% 9.6% 10.1% 12.4% 11.0% 7.0%
Marianna Shand 4.9% 8.0% 9.3% 9.9% 10.8% 10.8% 9.7% 9.8% 8.4% 8.5% 5.6% 3.0% 1.3%
Kyle Farmer 5.7% 6.8% 7.1% 10.0% 10.9% 10.3% 9.5% 10.3% 8.9% 7.4% 6.7% 4.3% 2.1%
Bastien Rasse 21.5% 21.8% 19.1% 11.2% 9.9% 7.7% 4.9% 2.1% 1.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
George Soliman 4.8% 4.0% 6.2% 6.2% 6.7% 6.7% 9.4% 9.2% 9.6% 11.1% 10.7% 9.6% 5.8%
Matt Grimsley 3.7% 3.7% 4.2% 5.1% 5.7% 7.5% 8.0% 9.7% 10.1% 11.1% 10.7% 13.3% 7.2%
Gabriel Reuter 4.7% 5.3% 6.2% 7.3% 9.6% 10.5% 10.8% 9.7% 9.5% 8.9% 8.3% 5.7% 3.5%
Nathan Gerber 2.3% 3.3% 3.7% 4.5% 4.2% 5.9% 7.5% 9.1% 8.7% 9.3% 12.2% 14.9% 14.4%
Wilton Lawton 2.0% 2.7% 4.5% 6.2% 6.9% 5.1% 8.8% 9.2% 11.1% 9.9% 10.6% 13.6% 9.4%
Erin Pamplin 2.8% 5.2% 5.4% 6.9% 7.8% 10.3% 8.1% 7.9% 11.0% 11.4% 10.7% 7.7% 4.8%
Nikita Swatek 0.9% 0.7% 1.3% 2.2% 2.4% 2.8% 4.0% 3.8% 5.8% 7.4% 9.3% 15.4% 44.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.