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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.77+1.45vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara1.42+3.11vs Predicted
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3University of California at Los Angeles1.06+3.11vs Predicted
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4California Poly Maritime Academy0.91+2.43vs Predicted
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5University of Hawaii2.28-1.77vs Predicted
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6University of California at Berkeley0.20+2.28vs Predicted
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7Western Washington University0.08+1.55vs Predicted
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8Arizona State University0.320.00vs Predicted
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9Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.41-1.12vs Predicted
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10University of California at Santa Cruz0.48-2.41vs Predicted
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11University of California at San Diego0.79-4.43vs Predicted
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12University of Washington-0.48-1.82vs Predicted
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13University of California at Irvine-0.66-2.40vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.45Stanford University2.770.4%1st Place
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5.11University of California at Santa Barbara1.420.1%1st Place
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6.11University of California at Los Angeles1.060.1%1st Place
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6.43California Poly Maritime Academy0.910.1%1st Place
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3.23University of Hawaii2.280.2%1st Place
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8.28University of California at Berkeley0.200.0%1st Place
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8.55Western Washington University0.080.0%1st Place
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8.0Arizona State University0.320.0%1st Place
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7.88Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.410.0%1st Place
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7.59University of California at Santa Cruz0.480.0%1st Place
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6.57University of California at San Diego0.790.0%1st Place
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10.18University of Washington-0.480.0%1st Place
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10.6University of California at Irvine-0.660.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Lim | 35.8% | 25.3% | 17.0% | 11.5% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ted McDonough | 9.1% | 9.1% | 14.0% | 12.8% | 14.6% | 9.9% | 10.7% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Marianna Shand | 5.0% | 7.1% | 10.0% | 9.9% | 12.0% | 10.6% | 12.4% | 11.0% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 0.5% |
| Kyle Farmer | 5.4% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 10.0% | 12.2% | 10.8% | 8.8% | 11.0% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 3.2% | 0.9% |
| Bastien Rasse | 22.7% | 21.7% | 16.5% | 15.7% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Wilton Lawton | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 13.1% | 11.7% | 10.5% | 10.8% | 8.2% |
| Nathan Gerber | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 9.0% | 10.4% | 11.1% | 14.4% | 13.5% | 8.5% |
| Matt Grimsley | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 11.7% | 12.2% | 11.4% | 10.0% | 4.9% |
| Max Case | 2.9% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 10.3% | 9.1% | 12.8% | 9.2% | 10.9% | 9.9% | 5.3% |
| George Soliman | 3.7% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 10.6% | 9.0% | 11.1% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 5.3% |
| Gabriel Reuter | 4.6% | 6.1% | 8.5% | 10.4% | 7.8% | 12.0% | 11.5% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 3.6% | 1.7% |
| Jaden Unruh | 1.0% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 8.8% | 12.0% | 19.0% | 28.6% |
| Nikita Swatek | 1.0% | 0.6% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 9.1% | 11.6% | 17.2% | 35.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.