Race 13B

pacific-coast-open-fleet-race-championships

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
AnaClare Sole 16.7% 14.2% 16.9% 11.6% 11.6% 8.3% 8.3% 5.6% 3.5% 2.0% 0.9% 0.4% 0.0%
Gideon Burnes Heath 9.2% 9.9% 11.9% 10.5% 11.2% 11.0% 9.6% 8.2% 7.2% 5.1% 3.5% 1.8% 0.9%
Bastien Rasse 26.1% 21.3% 15.7% 13.8% 8.4% 7.2% 3.8% 1.6% 1.5% 0.4% 0.0% 0.2% 0.0%
Gabriel Reuter 4.8% 7.1% 6.5% 7.7% 9.2% 9.3% 8.5% 10.2% 10.0% 9.5% 8.0% 6.7% 2.5%
Ted McDonough 10.8% 13.8% 13.0% 10.8% 9.9% 9.7% 9.9% 7.7% 6.2% 3.7% 3.1% 1.2% 0.2%
Matt Grimsley 4.0% 4.8% 3.5% 5.8% 6.4% 7.1% 7.0% 8.2% 10.5% 10.2% 11.7% 12.8% 8.0%
Max Case 5.2% 3.9% 5.7% 6.1% 6.3% 6.0% 7.2% 10.5% 9.3% 11.5% 11.3% 10.2% 6.8%
Erin Pamplin 5.1% 6.5% 5.5% 6.8% 6.5% 9.0% 9.8% 9.5% 11.0% 9.4% 8.2% 9.7% 3.0%
Kyle Farmer 7.1% 6.1% 7.4% 9.3% 9.9% 9.5% 10.2% 9.1% 8.3% 8.0% 7.7% 4.5% 2.9%
Wilton Lawton 4.0% 3.3% 4.0% 4.6% 5.8% 6.2% 7.5% 8.3% 9.0% 8.9% 11.8% 13.7% 12.9%
Nathan Gerber 2.2% 3.2% 3.6% 5.4% 6.2% 5.7% 6.5% 7.8% 9.6% 13.1% 10.8% 13.9% 12.0%
George Soliman 3.7% 4.5% 4.8% 6.1% 6.8% 8.2% 8.3% 8.6% 8.5% 10.3% 12.9% 10.5% 6.8%
Nikita Swatek 1.1% 1.4% 1.5% 1.5% 1.8% 2.8% 3.4% 4.7% 5.4% 7.9% 10.1% 14.4% 44.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.