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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii2.28+2.18vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara1.42+3.18vs Predicted
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3Stanford University1.81+1.16vs Predicted
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4University of California at San Diego0.79+2.92vs Predicted
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5California Poly Maritime Academy0.91+1.44vs Predicted
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6Arizona State University0.32+2.21vs Predicted
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7University of California at Los Angeles1.30-1.60vs Predicted
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8Western Washington University0.08+0.84vs Predicted
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9Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.41-0.88vs Predicted
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10University of California at Berkeley0.20-1.44vs Predicted
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11University of Washington0.62-3.83vs Predicted
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12University of California at Santa Cruz0.48-4.04vs Predicted
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13University of California at Irvine-0.66-2.15vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.18University of Hawaii2.280.3%1st Place
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5.18University of California at Santa Barbara1.420.1%1st Place
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4.16Stanford University1.810.2%1st Place
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6.92University of California at San Diego0.790.1%1st Place
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6.44California Poly Maritime Academy0.910.1%1st Place
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8.21Arizona State University0.320.0%1st Place
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5.4University of California at Los Angeles1.300.1%1st Place
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8.84Western Washington University0.080.0%1st Place
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8.12Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.410.0%1st Place
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8.56University of California at Berkeley0.200.0%1st Place
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7.17University of Washington0.620.0%1st Place
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7.96University of California at Santa Cruz0.480.0%1st Place
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10.85University of California at Irvine-0.660.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bastien Rasse | 26.7% | 19.0% | 17.7% | 13.0% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ted McDonough | 10.4% | 10.6% | 13.4% | 11.9% | 11.4% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.7% |
| AnaClare Sole | 16.3% | 17.4% | 12.4% | 13.3% | 11.8% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Gabriel Reuter | 5.6% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 10.6% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 2.6% |
| Kyle Farmer | 7.5% | 6.5% | 10.0% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 1.9% |
| Matt Grimsley | 3.9% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 12.1% | 12.2% | 12.1% | 7.5% |
| Gideon Burnes Heath | 10.6% | 11.3% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 11.3% | 9.1% | 9.9% | 10.4% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 1.3% | 0.6% |
| Nathan Gerber | 2.1% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 12.3% | 16.8% | 11.4% |
| Max Case | 3.7% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 11.3% | 10.8% | 11.3% | 8.0% |
| Wilton Lawton | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 11.9% | 11.6% | 13.3% |
| Erin Pamplin | 4.7% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 3.5% |
| George Soliman | 3.5% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 10.6% | 12.0% | 9.9% | 7.6% |
| Nikita Swatek | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 7.6% | 10.6% | 16.2% | 42.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.