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📊 Prediction Accuracy
88.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fairfield University1.06+2.86vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College1.65+1.10vs Predicted
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3University of New Hampshire1.02+0.99vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College1.55-0.97vs Predicted
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5Boston University1.36-1.65vs Predicted
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6University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.30+0.19vs Predicted
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7Bates College-0.59-0.33vs Predicted
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8University of New Hampshire-0.78-1.05vs Predicted
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9Middlebury College-1.50-1.13vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.86Fairfield University1.060.1%1st Place
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3.1Bowdoin College1.650.2%1st Place
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3.99University of New Hampshire1.020.1%1st Place
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3.03Bowdoin College1.550.2%1st Place
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3.35Boston University1.360.2%1st Place
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6.19University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.300.0%1st Place
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6.67Bates College-0.590.0%1st Place
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6.95University of New Hampshire-0.780.0%1st Place
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7.87Middlebury College-1.500.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wilson Kaznoski | 15.0% | 12.6% | 15.1% | 18.8% | 16.7% | 13.1% | 6.2% | 2.3% | 0.2% |
| Benjamin Stevens | 19.7% | 23.9% | 18.6% | 16.7% | 11.2% | 6.4% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Grace Cannon | 12.6% | 13.0% | 15.3% | 16.7% | 18.8% | 14.6% | 6.5% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| Jonathan Chance | 23.1% | 20.3% | 20.1% | 16.6% | 10.7% | 6.1% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Nathan Selian | 20.2% | 19.3% | 17.6% | 14.1% | 14.2% | 8.7% | 4.0% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Kate Myler | 3.4% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 9.7% | 18.2% | 23.9% | 19.6% | 9.2% |
| Colby Green | 2.7% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 8.3% | 15.3% | 23.0% | 26.0% | 14.4% |
| Sonja Krajewski | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 6.9% | 12.6% | 19.8% | 26.4% | 22.6% |
| Robin Potter | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 11.7% | 20.7% | 52.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.