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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College4.43+3.02vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.79+3.56vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College3.71+3.03vs Predicted
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4Harvard University3.67+2.19vs Predicted
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5Tufts University3.48+1.86vs Predicted
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6Yale University3.50+0.80vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College2.65+2.05vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island3.92-2.55vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.95-0.51vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont2.86-1.18vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College3.23-3.37vs Predicted
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12Boston University2.21-1.41vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.30-5.78vs Predicted
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14Brandeis University1.35-1.70vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.02Boston College4.430.2%1st Place
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5.56Brown University3.790.1%1st Place
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6.03Connecticut College3.710.1%1st Place
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6.19Harvard University3.670.1%1st Place
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6.86Tufts University3.480.1%1st Place
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6.8Yale University3.500.1%1st Place
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9.05Bowdoin College2.650.0%1st Place
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5.45University of Rhode Island3.920.1%1st Place
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8.49Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.950.1%1st Place
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8.82University of Vermont2.860.0%1st Place
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7.63Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
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10.59Boston University2.210.0%1st Place
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7.22U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.300.1%1st Place
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12.3Brandeis University1.350.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anne Haeger | 20.8% | 17.8% | 13.9% | 12.0% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.3% |
| Elizabeth Barry | 11.3% | 11.1% | 11.2% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 10.4% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 0.2% |
| Atlantic Brugman | 8.4% | 10.8% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 0.3% |
| Emily Lambert | 7.1% | 9.3% | 11.0% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 10.9% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 0.7% |
| Natalie Salk | 6.3% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 1.4% |
| Claire Dennis | 7.6% | 5.9% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 0.6% |
| Phoebe Sprague | 3.5% | 3.3% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 10.8% | 13.1% | 13.3% | 7.9% |
| Amy Hawkins | 11.6% | 12.4% | 11.2% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Katii Gullick | 5.2% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 11.8% | 9.9% | 12.3% | 9.4% | 4.3% |
| Alexandra Arntsen | 3.8% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 12.6% | 12.2% | 6.2% |
| Chandler Salisbury | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 2.7% |
| Erica Lush | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 10.9% | 13.3% | 20.7% | 19.0% |
| Krysta Rohde | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 5.6% | 1.5% |
| Andrea Verdeja | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 14.8% | 54.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.