Race 2A

polar-bear-invite

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Wilson Kaznoski 15.1% 13.6% 14.2% 16.9% 17.3% 13.6% 7.1% 2.0% 0.2%
Nathan Selian 14.6% 18.7% 18.1% 18.5% 13.3% 9.0% 5.5% 2.1% 0.2%
Jonathan Chance 22.5% 20.3% 18.4% 15.1% 13.5% 7.4% 2.2% 0.5% 0.1%
Benjamin Stevens 25.4% 24.0% 18.7% 13.9% 10.7% 4.7% 1.8% 0.8% 0.0%
Colby Green 2.5% 2.8% 5.4% 6.2% 8.1% 15.9% 19.3% 23.1% 16.7%
Kate Myler 3.5% 3.5% 5.4% 6.7% 9.0% 18.3% 24.1% 20.0% 9.5%
Grace Cannon 12.7% 14.4% 14.8% 16.2% 18.1% 13.6% 7.8% 2.0% 0.4%
Sonja Krajewski 2.4% 1.9% 3.0% 4.1% 6.8% 12.0% 20.5% 28.0% 21.3%
Robin Potter 1.3% 0.8% 2.0% 2.4% 3.2% 5.5% 11.7% 21.5% 51.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.