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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College1.55+2.12vs Predicted
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2University of New Hampshire1.02+2.11vs Predicted
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3Fairfield University1.06+0.93vs Predicted
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4University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.30+2.15vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College1.65-2.11vs Predicted
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6Boston University1.36-2.64vs Predicted
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7Bates College-0.59-0.32vs Predicted
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8University of New Hampshire-0.78-1.09vs Predicted
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9Middlebury College-1.50-1.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.12Bowdoin College1.550.2%1st Place
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4.11University of New Hampshire1.020.1%1st Place
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3.93Fairfield University1.060.1%1st Place
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6.15University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.300.0%1st Place
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2.89Bowdoin College1.650.3%1st Place
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3.36Boston University1.360.2%1st Place
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6.68Bates College-0.590.0%1st Place
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6.91University of New Hampshire-0.780.0%1st Place
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7.86Middlebury College-1.500.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonathan Chance | 22.4% | 18.7% | 20.2% | 16.2% | 12.6% | 6.5% | 2.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Grace Cannon | 9.4% | 13.3% | 17.1% | 17.4% | 17.8% | 14.2% | 7.2% | 2.8% | 0.8% |
| Wilson Kaznoski | 12.5% | 16.1% | 13.6% | 18.0% | 16.6% | 13.2% | 7.4% | 2.2% | 0.4% |
| Kate Myler | 3.3% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 10.8% | 17.3% | 22.9% | 20.9% | 8.3% |
| Benjamin Stevens | 27.4% | 22.3% | 16.7% | 13.9% | 11.0% | 5.3% | 2.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Nathan Selian | 18.1% | 18.2% | 19.4% | 16.6% | 14.4% | 9.1% | 3.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Colby Green | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 6.8% | 16.7% | 21.5% | 26.7% | 14.8% |
| Sonja Krajewski | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 6.8% | 12.4% | 20.9% | 25.1% | 22.5% |
| Robin Potter | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 5.3% | 11.1% | 20.5% | 53.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.