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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College1.65+1.92vs Predicted
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2Boston University1.36+1.54vs Predicted
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3University of New Hampshire1.02+0.98vs Predicted
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4Bates College-0.59+2.58vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College1.55-1.97vs Predicted
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6Middlebury College-1.50+1.88vs Predicted
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7Fairfield University1.06-3.09vs Predicted
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8University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.30-1.78vs Predicted
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9University of New Hampshire-0.78-2.05vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.92Bowdoin College1.650.2%1st Place
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3.54Boston University1.360.1%1st Place
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3.98University of New Hampshire1.020.1%1st Place
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6.58Bates College-0.590.0%1st Place
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3.03Bowdoin College1.550.3%1st Place
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7.88Middlebury College-1.500.0%1st Place
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3.91Fairfield University1.060.1%1st Place
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6.22University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.300.0%1st Place
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6.95University of New Hampshire-0.780.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benjamin Stevens | 25.0% | 21.5% | 18.7% | 16.0% | 12.4% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Selian | 14.6% | 19.9% | 17.5% | 16.9% | 15.3% | 9.4% | 4.6% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Grace Cannon | 12.1% | 14.3% | 15.3% | 16.5% | 17.4% | 14.8% | 7.2% | 2.2% | 0.2% |
| Colby Green | 2.3% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 9.0% | 14.9% | 21.8% | 22.5% | 16.2% |
| Jonathan Chance | 25.1% | 20.3% | 18.4% | 14.7% | 10.7% | 6.9% | 3.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Robin Potter | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 6.7% | 11.6% | 21.6% | 51.4% |
| Wilson Kaznoski | 13.0% | 13.9% | 16.0% | 17.1% | 18.4% | 12.0% | 7.1% | 2.3% | 0.2% |
| Kate Myler | 4.2% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 9.2% | 19.0% | 23.1% | 19.6% | 10.2% |
| Sonja Krajewski | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 12.5% | 19.3% | 29.1% | 21.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.