Race 6A

polar-bear-invite

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Nathan Selian 18.7% 16.8% 17.8% 19.7% 13.3% 9.1% 3.4% 1.1% 0.1%
Grace Cannon 9.0% 13.5% 16.9% 17.4% 18.7% 13.3% 7.6% 2.9% 0.7%
Wilson Kaznoski 13.4% 14.0% 15.0% 17.3% 17.3% 14.3% 6.1% 2.2% 0.4%
Jonathan Chance 22.6% 21.4% 21.6% 14.7% 10.6% 6.5% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1%
Benjamin Stevens 26.8% 23.4% 16.4% 13.2% 11.2% 5.6% 2.7% 0.7% 0.0%
Colby Green 2.1% 3.5% 3.8% 5.0% 7.4% 15.1% 23.1% 24.1% 15.9%
Kate Myler 3.7% 3.9% 3.3% 7.3% 10.5% 18.6% 23.7% 20.4% 8.6%
Sonja Krajewski 2.3% 2.7% 3.2% 3.1% 6.6% 13.5% 19.9% 26.3% 22.4%
Robin Potter 1.4% 0.8% 2.0% 2.3% 4.4% 4.0% 11.5% 21.8% 51.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.